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Does Pantami have free access to NIN database?

Isa Ali Pantami, minister of communications and digital economy One of the most iconic scenes of the Batman movie, Dark Knight, produced by Christopher Nolan, and released in 2008, is the dialogue between Bruce Wayne and the character Lucius Fox portrayed by Morgan Freeman. Christian Bale, who plays Bruce, Batman’s character, knew he was running out of time to find his long-lost love, Rachel… Don’t miss another story Become a BusinessDay Subscriber today. For insights, facts, figures, and access to opportunities.Options starting from N1000 Monthly Subscribe Now Already a subsriber? Login Get real time updates directly on you device, subscribe now. Subscribe

No masks, no social distancing and a 4,000-strong crowd at next month's Brit Awards, as the UK looks to restart live events

The ceremony at London's O2 Arena will take place on May 11, with an audience made up of 2,500 frontline workers and another 1,500 corporate invitees. Attendees will not have to distance from each other, but will be required to present a negative Covid-19 test taken before the event. They are also being asked to take tests after the show, to track any potential transmission between audience members.The ceremony is one of several live test events being overseen by the British government, as it attempts to stick to Prime Minister Boris Johnson's promise of a virtual return to pre-Covid rules on or after June 21.Other trials will see 3,000 people pack into a nightclub in Liverpool on April 30, 5,000 people attend an outdoor concert on May 2, and 21,000 football fans watch the FA Cup final at Wembley Stadium on May 15."This has been a long tough year for everyone and I'm delighted the night will honour the key worker heroes who have cared for us so well during that time and continue to do so," singer Dua Lipa, who is nominated for an award, said in a press release.Geoff Taylor, the Brit Awards chief executive, added: "Not only will we be celebrating the brilliant music and artists that have helped us through the pandemic, but we hope it will provide a path for the return of live music that fans and artists have so sorely missed."British comedian Jack Whitehall is due to host the ceremony, which will include performances from artists Headie One and Arlo Parks.A stringent lockdown and a speedy vaccination rollout have helped the UK start to reopen parts of society in recent weeks. Pubs, restaurants and other hospitality venues were allowed to reopen for outdoor dining last week, and another phase of restrictions are due to be eased on or after May 17.

Footballers Ignite 'Cancel Culture' Row In Hungary

Footballers ignite 'cancel culture' row in Hungary

Syrian missile explodes in area near Israeli nuclear reactor, Israel retaliates

JERUSALEM — A Syrian missile exploded in southern Israel on Thursday, the Israeli military said, in an incident that triggered warning sirens near the secretive Dimona nuclear reactor and an Israeli strike in Syria. An Israeli military spokesman identified the projectile as an SA-5 surface-to-air missile fired by Syrian forces against Israeli aircraft. He said […]

How the European Super League united football against the game's wealthy owners

Fans, currently unable to watch Premier League games amid Covid-19 restrictions, had come together on Tuesday to protest Chelsea's participation in the European Super League ahead of the side's goalless draw against Brighton. While the protests were ongoing, the news was announced that the club would withdraw from the breakaway league, which has been met with fierce condemnation across football and beyond.Soon, all six of the Super League's English participants had followed suit and bowed out of the competition. Barely 48 hours since it had been announced, the project was unraveling.Arsenal went the furthest in acknowledging the crucial role that fans had played in pressuring the club to withdraw."The last few days have shown us yet again the depth of feeling our supporters around the world have for this great club and the game we love," began an open letter from the Arsenal board. "We needed no reminding of this but the response from supporters in recent days has given us time for further reflection and deep thought."In seeking to make European football more lucrative at the expense of competitive drama -- 15 clubs would be immune from relegation in the Super League -- the concept took football to a place the sport's broader community didn't want it to go. From fans, players, pundits and politicians -- not to mention rival clubs and the game's governing bodies -- the response to the Super League was emphatic.As supporters took to the streets outside stadiums with banners, inside the ground players staged their own protests through T-shirts and post-match interviews. On Tuesday, players for Liverpool, one of the 12 clubs to initially sign up for the exclusive competition, took to social media: "We don't like it and we don't want it to happen," was the collective message, even if they didn't explicitly mention the Super League.Their manager, Jurgen Klopp, had shared his own reservations the day before, while Pep Guardiola, Klopp's counterpart at Manchester City, railed against the way "everyone thinks for themselves" at the top of the game. Broadcasters, including Amazon and BT, distanced themselves from the Super League, as did some of the game's leading TV figures: "If it actually happens, I will never work on this European Super League," tweeted BBC and BT presenter Gary Lineker..m-infographic_1619005543361{background:url(//cdn.cnn.com/cnn/.e/interactive/html5-video-media/2021/04/21/20210421-super-leage-teams-OUT-375px-0130pm-2.png) no-repeat 0 0 transparent;margin-bottom:30px;width:100%;-moz-background-size:cover;-o-background-size:cover;-webkit-background-size:cover;background-size:cover;font-size:0;}.m-infographic_1619005543361:before{content:"";display:block;padding-top:606.4%;}@media (min-width:640px) {.m-infographic_1619005543361 {background-image:url(//cdn.cnn.com/cnn/.e/interactive/html5-video-media/2021/04/21/20210421-super-leage-teams-OUT-780px-0130pm-2.png);}.m-infographic_1619005543361:before{padding-top:153.14%;}}@media (min-width:1120px) {.m-infographic_1619005543361 {background-image:url(//cdn.cnn.com/cnn/.e/interactive/html5-video-media/2021/04/21/20210421-super-leage-teams-OUT-780px-0130pm-2.png);}.m-infographic_1619005543361:before{padding-top:153.14%;}}With the footballing community practically unanimous in its disapproval, politicians weighed in.British Prime Minister Boris Johnson said the sport's authorities would have the "full backing" from his government to take action against the Super League plans, while opposition leader Keir Starmer called clubs' withdrawal a "watershed moment" for the game.The Super League fiasco has not only demonstrated how much power is wielded by the wealthy owners of Europe's top clubs, but also how football's fans and stakeholders can wrestle back some of that power.There has also been resistance from some club owners. Paris Saint-Germain's chairman and CEO, Nasser Al-Khelaifi, urged football not to forget its fans as he pledged allegiance to UEFA's European competitions, and Bayern Munich, which defeated PSG in last year's Champions League final, also rejected the Super League.Bayern and other German clubs operate under a 50+1 ownership rule, meaning members and fans hold the majority of the ownership stakes, rather than commercial partners. But what has been brought into sharper focus is how the game balances the intentions of club owners against the desires of the fans -- an ongoing and existential question for football.On Monday, the UK government announced a fan-led review of the sport in the wake of the Super League launch, which it calls a "root-and-branch examination of football in this country.""Football needs to take its fans incredibly seriously and move against them at their peril. I think that's probably a lesson learnt that will actually help with the situation moving forward," UK sports minister Nigel Huddleston told CNN Sport's Christina Macfarlane.Huddleston added that the review will "come up with a whole host of recommendations on football governance and also the flow of money in football. We'll see what those recommendations are and hopefully that will also help put us on a firmer footing."Among the possible outcomes of the review could be the introduction of an independent regulator of professional football in the UK."It's been talked about for a few years, we're not discounting it," added Huddleston."There's definitely issues with it in terms of scope of responsibilities. I suspect the idea of a regulator wouldn't go down well with some of the football authorities who believe that they should probably be doing them themselves."But we've seen too many failures and too many problems with English football over the last few years."The Super League and the question of ownership at the top of the game has united and mobilized football's community-at-large in a unique way, unlike other issues afflicting the game.Asked for his views on the Super League earlier this week, Leeds forward Patrick Bamford questioned why the game's decision-makers are prepared to take drastic action when football's finances are at stake, but not against racism.West Ham, one of the clubs that could have missed out on a chance to face Europe's top sides with the introduction of the Super League, tweeted on Tuesday that it's time to "get back to focusing on what's important and stand together to show that there is No Room For Racism."The announcement of the Super League has also led to racial abuse towards club owners on social media, according to Campaign Against Antisemitism, which has identified tweets "appealing to classic tropes of Jewish greed, parasitism and control, as well as references to the Holocaust.""No controversy, however great the passions it may stir, can justify the horrendous antisemitic abuse meted out by some Twitter users towards football clubs and their owners," said a spokesperson for Campaign Against Antisemitism.When contacted by CNN about the antisemitic posts, a Twitter spokesperson said: "Keeping people safe on Twitter is a priority for us. We have clear policies in place -- that apply to everyone, everywhere -- that address threats of violence, abuse and harassment and hateful conduct and we take action when we identify accounts that violate these rules."Twitter also said that action has been taken against tweets referenced in the report for violating the company's hateful conduct policy.The balance of power between Europe's "big clubs" and the sport's governing bodies is an issue that isn't going away any time soon, but it's far from the only issue bedeviling the sport. There are myriad others which have persisted for years, not least the level of investment in the women's game and the way decisions are made to host leading tournaments such as the World Cup.Last month, for example, international teams took the opportunity to highlight the treatment of migrant workers in Qatar during qualification games for the 2022 World Cup. In late 2019, Nasser Al-Khater, chief executive of Qatar's 2022 World Cup organizing committee, told CNN that the nation had been "judged by the court of perception very early on.""Was Qatar treated unfairly? Yes, in my opinion, very much so," said Al Khater.But with the tournament now just over a year away, last month's qualifying games are unlikely to be the last time that Qatar's human rights record comes under the microscope -- and if the events surrounding the Super League have taught us anything, it's that the greatest catalysts for change in football can be found within the game itself.

Israel intensifying air war in Syria against Iranian encroachment

AMMAN (Reuters) - Israel has dramatically expanded air strikes on suspected Iranian missile and weapons production centres in Syria to repel what it sees...

Four killed in car blast outside hotel where Chinese ambassador was reportedly staying

Quetta is the capital of the province of Balochistan, near the Afghan border. The province has seen a decades-long insurgency by separatists who demand independence from Pakistan, citing what they say is the state's monopoly and exploitation of the province's mineral resources.The explosion outside the Serena Hotel took place late Wednesday night local time and rescue and security services are carrying out investigations into the incident, Muhammad Akram, a rescue official at the scene of the blast, told CNN. The Serena Hotel is considered the most secure hotel in Quetta and is typically where international development teams and diplomats choose to stay while visiting."This incident occurred after Iftar (breaking of fast). The car was parked in the parking lot of the Serena Hotel," said Balochistan provincial Home Minister Ziaullah Lango, according to Reuters. "One of our police constables is among the injured."Footage and images from the scene show vehicles ablaze in the hotel's parking lot and thick smoke billowing from the blast. The Pakistani Taliban, a militant group known as Tehreek e Taliban Pakistan (TTP) claimed responsibility for the bombing. In an email received by CNN, TTP Spokesman Muhammad Khurassani said it was a "suicide attack which was carried out by a TTP bomber via car," and that "further details will be shared soon."China's Ambassador to Pakistan, Nong Rong, was staying at the hotel but was not there when the bomb exploded, Pakistan's Interior Minister, Sheikh Rashid Ahmad, said Wednesday, according to Reuters. Lango, the provincial home minister, said the ambassador was "in high spirits" and would continue with his activities Thursday. "He has also said that he will only leave after he has completed his tour," Lango said. It was not clear whether the envoy or members of his delegation were a target of the attack, but Chinese nationals and their interests in the region have been attacked before by militants.Last year, the Pakistan Stock Exchange in Karachi was targeted in an attack claimed by separatist group the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA), which said the attack was aimed at China's economic interests "in retaliation of Chinese exploitative plans in Balochistan."In 2018, the BLA claimed another attack in which armed attackers attempted to storm the Chinese consulate in Karachi, killing four people, saying it would not tolerate any Chinese military expansionist endeavors.In October, 2020, an attack by an umbrella organization of Baloch militant groups, Baloch Raaji Aajoi Sangar (BRAS), in Gwadar on a convoy of the state-run Oil and Gas Development Corporation Limited (OGDCL), killed 14 people. And in 2019, five were killed in a similar attack on a luxury hotel also in the town of Gwadar, where Chinese workers were staying. In 2015, under Beijing's Belt and Road trade and infrastructure scheme, China turned Balochistan's Gwadar into the deepest seaport in the world. The coastal town is now a hub of Chinese investment in Pakistan.Journalist Saleem Mehsud contributed reporting from Islamabad.

‘Economic collapse amid escalating conflict’: is Myanmar becoming a failed state?

Myanmar air force jets strafed, bombed and shelled villages, schools and rice barns over four nights, killing 19 and displacing up to 30,000 people, according to the Karen National Union, a rebel group in the eastern state bordering Thailand. The military struck after the armed wing of the KNU over-ran one of its bases and killed 10 soldiers, on the day the ruling junta was celebrating Armed Forces Day in the capital Naypyidaw.The minority Karen people are no strangers to violence. They have been fighting the Tatmadaw, or Myanmar military, for most of the past seven decades since the country gained independence from Britain. But the fighting had eased, if not ended, since a 2012 ceasefire, until the air strikes — the first in the area for a quarter of a century.The military was seeking swift retaliation, but another factor in their decision was the presence in Karen of activists who had fled the cities — the main protest centres since the February 1 military coup — and taken shelter in the state.The bombardment that started on March 27 was brutal. Thousands of people, mainly women and children, fled the shelling on boats across the Salween river into Thailand, where authorities pushed them back. It was also a very explicit sign that the conflict in Myanmar is spreading.  Junta leader General Min Aung Hlaing inspects troops in Naypyidaw on Armed Forces Day, March 27. The Karen National Liberation army had earlier killed 10 soldiers triggering several days of air strikes that left 19 dead in Karen state © AP What started as a domestic political crisis caused by the military’s toppling of Aung San Suu Kyi’s government has quickly escalated. First into a human rights emergency as troops shot and killed unarmed protesters and more recently into something resembling a civil conflict, as protesters begin to arm themselves with crude improvised weapons and build alliances with better armed ethnic groups in minority areas. Michelle Bachelet, the UN human rights chief, warned last week that she feared Myanmar was “heading toward a full-blown civil conflict”. “There are clear echoes of Syria in 2011,” Bachelet said. “There, too, we saw peaceful protests met with unnecessary and clearly disproportionate force. The state’s brutal, persistent repression of its own people led to some individuals taking up arms, followed by a downward and rapidly expanding spiral of violence.” Karen leaders want urgent action: sanctions imposed against the junta and a no-fly-zone to protect their people from air attacks. Fighting has also broken out in other regions including northern Kachin state, where another armed group has overrun police and military outposts, and the military has responded with deadly air strikes. “The world needs to put in very strong and effective sanctions, to block dollar and euro transactions so the coup makers can’t use them any more,” Padoh Saw Taw Nee, the head of the KNU’s foreign affairs department, says. “But the world is still reluctant to do it.” The growing violence is worrying Myanmar’s closest neighbours — China, India and Thailand. Asean, the south-east Asian regional grouping to which Myanmar belongs, has called a summit of leaders in Jakarta to discuss the crisis on Saturday. But its invitation to Min Aung Hlaing, the coup leader, while not making any such offer to representatives of the deposed government, has angered many.  One of the Karen people injured by the military attack is carried on a stretcher after fleeing across the Salawin river into Thailand © Sakchai Lalit/AP Anti-coup politicians — many loyal to the detained Suu Kyi — who evaded arrest and are now in exile or hiding have formed a national unity government that is seeking international recognition and foreign aid. The parallel cabinet includes Karen, Kachin and other minority groups in senior roles. “We will serve and honour all as brothers and sisters regardless of their race, or religion, or their community of origin, or walk of life,” said Sasa, the shadow government’s minister of international co-operation. But the rise of a shadow government adds a new layer of complexity as the international community attempts to coax Myanmar away from conflict. While foreign diplomats look at the legal implications of recognition, the anti-coup camp says it needs the world to isolate the junta. Responding to Asean’s invitation of Min Aung Hlaing to the summit, Sasa accused the bloc of engaging with what he called the “murderer-in-chief”.  Kachin demonstrators in Yangon protest against the coup. Fighting has broken out in Kachin state, where an armed group overran police and military outposts, and the military responded with deadly air strikes © AP Neighbourhood watchEven before the coup, Myanmar was widely being described as a “fragile” state because of its institutional dysfunction and intractable conflicts but some analysts now speak more bluntly about the risk of it becoming a failed state. “It’s a huge problem for the region, and a problem for the international community,” says Richard Horsey, senior adviser to the International Crisis Group. “It’s a human catastrophe, and one that has direct implications on Myanmar’s neighbours.” Members of the protest camp dislike the “failed state” rhetoric, which they see as fatalistic and emanating from an outside world whose backing can still help them roll back the coup and build a “federal democracy” to address Myanmar’s chronic divisions. “All the states in Myanmar will become united — you will see it very soon,” says Sasa, the parallel government’s representative. “We just need to overcome this period of darkness . . . it is not going to last that long.” The signs of trouble, however, are mounting. China — Myanmar’s biggest trading partner and largest arms supplier — has voiced concern over the safety of its oil and gas pipelines that transit the country, after anti-coup activists threatened to attack them in protest against Beijing’s failure to condemn the coup.The general strike called by the civil disobedience campaign has paralysed government business, crippled the banking system and stifled output in what under democratic rule was one of south-east Asia’s fastest growing economies. International trade has stopped with tens of thousands of workers in logistics, transport, ports, customs clearance and government agencies heeding the strike call. Factories have closed. Long queues have formed at bank ATMs in recent weeks caused, say businesspeople, by a shortage of cash delivered by the central bank. Strikes by health workers, and their subsequent imprisonment by the regime, have impeded the country’s already inadequate medical system. Schools and universities remain closed.Several foreign investors have announced plans to leave Myanmar or pause their business. A few — including Japanese beer group Kirin and South Korean steelmaker Posco — were bowing to longstanding calls to end partnerships with military controlled companies, but a more general flight of foreign capital has started. Trade unionists opposed to the coup have urged foreign clothing chains to stop purchases from Myanmar and some have done so, at the cost of about 200,000 jobs, according to one estimate. A long queue at an ATM in Yangon caused, like many others across the country, by a shortage of cash delivered by the central bank, say businesspeople © Kyodo/Reuters The World Bank estimates that Myanmar’s gross domestic product could fall by 10 per cent this year. Fitch Solutions’ forecast is even more dire — a 20 per cent contraction. Both could prove optimistic if more businesses close their doors and foreign investors go elsewhere. An internal research note commissioned by a domestic bank suggested that in a worst-case scenario: “Myanmar’s name could be added to a list that includes countries from Argentina to Zimbabwe, or Bolivia to Yugoslavia, suffering high or hyperinflation, mass poverty and a currency collapse.” Air strikes vs homemade riflesMin Aung Hlaing’s junta has sought to quash news and information flow by shutting down the internet, first ordering telecoms companies to block social media sites, then by severing mobile data and wireless connections. Yet it has failed to stop all reports emerging via independent and social media. The violence has until now come disproportionately from the regime camp. Breaking up a protest in Bago, north-west of Yangon, two weeks ago the authorities killed 82 people, according to the Assistance Association for Political Prisoners, a human rights group. The AAPP estimates 739 people have been killed by the junta since February 1 and more than 3,300 people arrested. In response some protesters have begun arming themselves and hitting back. Such actions, say the anti-coup camp, are a justifiable response to a regime that has used battlefield weaponry against urban demonstrators, including automatic weapons and rocket-propelled grenades. Anti-coup protesters in Mandalay. According to the Assistance Association for Political Prisoners, 739 people have been killed by the junta since February 1 and more than 3,331 people arrested © Reuters Although these reports cannot be independently verified, they do hint at a rising tide of retribution. In April alone protesters reportedly killed five police officers in an attack in Tamu, near the Indian border, and another three soldiers died after being ambushed by people armed with homemade rifles. In a separate incident, three ethnic groups from northern Myanmar, including the Kachin Independence Army, claimed responsibility for an attack on a police station near Lashio in northern Shan state. Up to 14 police officers were reported killed and the building set ablaze.Security analysts are for now playing down the protest camp’s ability to inflict lasting damage on the Tatmadaw. There is a huge mismatch in capabilities between one of south-east Asia’s largest armies and people armed with air rifles and petrol bombs, although Myanmar’s ethnic armed groups do have access to weapons caches. This means the scope for violence is much more limited than in Syria, say analysts, where Russia, Turkey and other countries intervened and where according to some estimates as many as 500,000 people, mostly civilians, have died in a decade of war. “The only way that urban guerrilla warfare might gain some traction would be if ethnic groups were willing to provide even halfway trained kids with weaponry and explosives and encourage them to go back,” says Anthony Davis, a Bangkok-based security analyst with IHS-Jane’s, the defence research group. “Even then, a well sourced military like the Tatmadaw would be capable of crushing it.” Officials warn of other consequences of the worsening conflict that could tip over into neighbouring countries. The UN reports growing hunger in Yangon’s poorer neighbourhoods, rising narcotics production in Shan state and what they see as an inevitability that more people will flee or be trafficked across national borders.  A police officer guards confiscated drugs. Before the coup, Myanmar’s jungle drugs laboratories — nearly all of which are in Shan state — were estimated to be one of the world’s largest sources of methamphetamine © Athit Perawongmetha/Reuters “Armed groups are undoubtedly watching what’s happening with the conflict in Karen and Kachin,” says Jeremy Douglas, regional representative for the UN’s drugs and crime agency. “If they are to secure themselves and strengthen their positions, they need finance — and the fastest way to do that in Shan and border areas is the drug trade.” Before the coup, Myanmar’s jungle drugs laboratories — nearly all of which are in Shan state — were estimated to be one of the world’s largest sources of methamphetamine. The narcotic is sold over the border in Thailand and trafficked as far afield as South Korea, Australia and New Zealand, according to UN and police officials. Defence analysts say the Tatmadaw has a history of tolerating drug trafficking by allied militias and “taxing” a cut of the proceeds. They expect the trade to surge, as ethnic armed groups seek sources of revenue to rearm. At the same time, the UN’s World Food Programme says the disruption to trade has caused rice prices to rise by 5 per cent since January and cooking oil to jump 18 per cent, hitting poor city dwellers the hardest. “We remain acutely concerned about the impact of the ongoing political crisis, particularly on the ability of the poorest sections of the population to be able to source both sufficient and nutritious food on a daily basis,” says Stephen Anderson, the agency’s Myanmar country director. He says the WFP is particularly concerned about food insecurity in 10 Yangon districts, home to about 2m people, that are either under martial law or have a high prevalence of slum housing. On Thursday the UN agency estimated that another 1.5m to 3.4m people could be at risk of food insecurity in the next three to six months because of the economic slowdown caused by the political crisis. While Myanmar has until now grown enough rice to feed itself, the disruption of trade threatens to bankrupt more farmers and deepen what is already a growing food crisis.“The timeframe that is of particular concern is June, when the planting season begins,” says Nyantha Lin, an independent political analyst and agribusiness expert. “Raw materials such as fertiliser and seed for cash crops are generally imported, and international trade has been severely disrupted.”  Some of the 30,000 Karen people displaced after the military attack on their state in the east of the country © Karen Teacher Working Group/Reuters ‘A band-aid response’ Those watching Myanmar unravel say the international community’s ability to influence developments is finite. “The outside world has limited leverage, the west in particular,” says the ICG’s Horsey. “That doesn’t mean the west should sit on its hands and do nothing, but it means their actions will not have a determinative effect on what happens.” Since the coup the UN Security Council has passed three resolutions, all backed by Russia or China — which are usually at odds with western members over human rights — that called for an end to violence and the release of detained prisoners. Neither demand has been met. The US, UK, Canada and the EU have placed sanctions on military leaders and the businesses they control. Some countries have cut off foreign aid or, like Japan, frozen new aid approvals to the junta. However, even advocates of the sanctions say they will have little effect. While China, arguably the country with the most to lose from the instability, has been guarded in its public statements, Russia has been willing to back the generals publicly. The resource the generals most lack, say analysts, is legitimacy. This poses a challenge to Myanmar’s diplomatic partners as they seek to broker solutions. Asean has spoken of a need for “dialogue”, a notion that has sparked fury among opponents of the junta who describe it as a brutal and illegal regime.  The unity government is seeking recognition too. Its members have held online meetings with officials from the UK and other countries. Analysts say the international community needs to engage urgently with those resisting the coup, not least to channel emergency aid to the country. Advocates of this approach point out that the military not only seized power illegitimately, but lacks effective control of the country. However, it would require co-operation from Thailand or India to open the logistics corridors needed to reach the shadow government, says Philipp Annawitt, a governance specialist and consultant who has worked in Myanmar. “From a humanitarian perspective, you need to build structures that will keep people afloat,” says Laetitia van den Assum, a former Netherlands diplomat. “You have to work with the national unity government, the ethnic armed organisations, and others to make sure there is a safety net in place.” Analysts say the outside world’s ability to influence events in Myanmar, limited to start with, is narrowing with the rapidly shifting realities on the ground. “Sanctions aren’t going to have any impact in the immediate future — they’re a band-aid response at best, tokenism at worst,” says Davis from IHS-Jane’s. “What will happen is an economic collapse amid escalating conflict.” 

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